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UK TRAVEL INDUSTRY OPTIMISTIC FOR 2003 SAYS NEW REPORT

London, January 29, 2003
  • Online travel to have biggest impact on industry in 2003
  • Industry agree war won’t stop people travelling as Europeans become more resilient

Opodo, the online travel service backed by nine of Europe’s leading airlines, today announced the findings of its first Travel Index - an in-depth report exploring current opinions and trends amongst the travel industry (including airlines, travel agents, tour operators, travel journalists and industry bodies).

The Index reveals that despite the current threat of war and terrorism, the industry is collectively optimistic for 2003 with 83% expecting overall improvement. The majority of respondents (55%) believe that increased online booking will have the biggest impact on the market in 2003. Not surprisingly, the growth of low-cost carriers and online travel companies came 2nd and 3rd respectively. These factors outweigh even the threat of terrorism (43%) and potential war with Iraq (33%).

David Scowsill, CEO, Opodo said ‘Travel is one of the most interesting, challenging and adaptable industries in the world, affected by everything from major world political events to the growth of new technology. We therefore believed it was important to commission the Opodo Travel Index to deliver a voice for the industry on important trends and issues, which will sit alongside credible factual research that already exists.’

Online travel
Almost three quarters of respondents agreed that an increase in online travel bookings would be the biggest change the industry will face over the next five years. Increases in cheap fares were viewed as being the second biggest change, (58%) whilst 47% believed the reduction of the number of High Street agents would be the third.

Over the next year, nearly half of the industry agrees that low-cost carriers’ websites will be the strongest single online sector, followed by online travel websites (17%). Traditional travel agent’s websites came in last with 5%.

‘Forecasts show that on-line travel sales will grow from 4.5 billion Euros to anywhere between 12 to over 38 billion Euros by 2006. The reality is likely to be somewhere in between. This potentially means that high street travel agents will lose market share and will need to look at how they re-invent themselves in a changing market. While face-to face-counts for a lot, so does price, choice and convenience. We’ve proven the price proposition. Through technological developments, increased concentration on customer care and a wider availability of products like accommodation, insurance and car hire, the mass market will come to depend on the Internet as their personal travel organiser.'

Low-cost carriers
Low-cost carriers were also applauded for delivering the biggest positive impact in 2002, by over a third of the industry in the Travel Index. Said David Scowsill, ‘Low-cost carriers have been incredibly successful in driving prices down and online bookings up. However, distribution could be a major issue for them if they continue to market only via their own websites. Go recognised this at an early stage, so it will be interesting to see if Easyjet will follow suit by making its flights available via other distribution channels.’

War and terrorism
Over half predict that it will take the tourist industry of countries affected by terrorism only six months, rather than a year, to recover. Almost half the UK’s travel industry agrees that European travellers are more resilient than US travellers to the threat of terrorism. A further 41% believe that we will actually become more desensitised over the next year. And although 33% felt a war with Iraq would have an impact on travel and tourism, the majority of the industry (53%) believe that people will not stop travelling, during a conflict, they will just choose alternative destinations.

‘If the war is fast, contained and the industry is prepared as we and many airlines are, the impact on bookings should be limited. We’ve seen no decrease at Opodo, in-fact January has been our most successful month to date. Confidence is the crucial barometer, and is more stable in these volatile times than it was during the last Gulf War when bookings still recovered after the cease-fire. We launched just after 9/11 and have smashed all our targets in the UK, France and Germany. I wonder if people are becoming a bit numb to the daily headlines about terrorism, and are fighting back in their own way by choosing to get on with their lives.’

Appendix
Key findings
  • Collectively, 83% of the industry are optimistic for 2003
  • What will have the most impact on the industry in 2003?
    • 55% believe that it will be consumer’s increased use of the internet to buy travel
    • 52% believe it will be low-cost carriers
    • 49% believe it will be growth of online travel companies
    • 43% believe it will be terrorism
    • 33% believe it will be war with Iraq
    • 22% believe it will be new technological developments
    • 11% believe it will be global policies
  • 62% think it will take countries affected by terrorism 6months to recover, 52% think it will take them 1 year
  • 43% think Europeans are more resilient than US citizens to the threat of war and terrorism when planning travel
  • 41% think people will become more desensitised to the threat of terrorism as it becomes more prevalent
  • 27% think some destinations will flourish as a result of war with Iraq
  • In the online sector, low-cost carrier’s websites were predicted to come out as the strongest by the end of 2003, followed by online travel websites (17%), scheduled airlines’ own websites (14%), tour operator websites (13%), traditional travel agents’ websites (5%)
  • It is believes the three main changes to the industry over the next 5 years will be
    • Increased online travel bookings (68%)
    • Increased cheap fares (58%)
    • Reduced number of High St branches (47%)
    • Growth of lo-cost carriers (43%)
    • Increased industry regulation (18%)
  • It is believed low-cost carriers made the biggest positive impact on the industry in 2002 by 31%. 25% voted for Easyjet, followed by Ryanair, Airtours (3% each) and Go (>1%).
  • Airlines were thought to have made the second biggest impact (12% of vote). BA (7%), American Airlines (3%), Virgin (2%)
  • 8% think long-established airlines made the most impact. Thomas Cook (4%), Thompson (2%), Holiday Hypermarket (1%)
Notes to editors

About Opodo

Opodo launched its first site (www.opodo.de) in Germany in November 2001, its UK site (www.opodo.co.uk) in January and its French site (www.opodo.fr) in April 2002.

Opodo is an online travel service created by nine of Europe's leading airlines - Aer Lingus, Air France, Alitalia, Austrian Airlines, British Airways, Finnair, Iberia, KLM, Lufthansa and Amadeus. Opodo addresses the real needs of today’s traveller by offering an unbiased and competitively priced online travel service for world travel, with access to flights from over 400 airlines, 30,000 hotel properties and a worldwide fleet of over 750,000 hire cars, as well as travel insurance.

Further information about Opodo is available at www.opodo.com

Media contact:

Gail Gillogaley / Gina Rolfe
Opodo Corporate Communications
T: 020 7664 7956
F: 020 7664 6363
E: gail.gillogaley@opodo.com

Judy Wells
Maclaurin PR
T: 020 7471 6843
F: 020 7371 4099
E: judy.wells@maclaurin.com
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